In addition, some
dealers have developed an electronic trading system that allows trading between them and investors via Bloomberg. One example is
Deutsche Morgan Grenfells AutoBond System.
THE BEHAVIOR OF TREASURY BILL YIELDS OVER TIME
While U.S. Treasury bills are very important
instruments in the money market, there is some evidence which suggests that bill yields no longer serve as benchmark instruments
from which
other money
market instruments
are priced. First, the correlation between the 3-month bill rate and the Federal Funds rate has diminished
considerably in recent years.11To illustrate this, we examine weekly observations of the Federal Funds rate and the 3-month bill rate for the period of January 1, 1987 to December 31, 1999.12During the first nine years
of this
period, the
correlation coefficient between
the Federal
Funds and
3-month bills
was 0.99.
However, during the
period
1996-1999, the correlation drops to 0.64. Second, a study by Gregory R. Duffee suggests that the U.S. Treasury bill market is becoming increasingly segmented and there is a measurable increase in the idiosyncratic variability
of the
bill yield
since the
mid-1980s.13
One possible explanation
is
that
when foreign central
banks intervene
in currency
markets to
manage the exchange rate between the dollar and other currencies,
they normally buy/ sell
U.S.
Treasury bills.14As a
result, the
yield on
bills may
not track
the yields on other money market instruments as closely as in the past.
Treasury
Bill Yields
versus LIBOR
LIBOR is the interest rate which major international banks offer each other on Eurodollar
certificates of deposit (CD) with given maturities. The matu- rities range
from overnight
to five years.
So, references
to "3-month
LIBOR" indicate the interest rate that major international banks are offering to
pay to
other such
banks on
a CD
that matures
in three
months. Eurodollar CDs pay
simple interest
at maturity
on an
ACT/360 basis.
LIBOR serves as a pricing reference for a number of widely traded financial products and derivatives (e.g., floaters, swaps, structured notes, etc.).
11The Federal Funds rate is a banks cost of borrowing immediately
available funds
from another institution primarily overnight.
12Source:FederalReserveStatisticalReleaseH.15
13GregoryR.Duffee,"IdiosyncraticVariationofTreasuryBillYields,"Journalof
Finance (June 1996), pp. 527-551.
14See, Timothy Q. Cook, "Treasury Bills," in Instruments of the Money Market,